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Why a Historically Reliable Recession Indicator May No Longer Be Accurate

Why a Historically Reliable Recession Indicator May No Longer Be Accurate

Wall Street’s most reliable recession indicator started signaling trouble in 2022 and hasn’t stopped since, but so far it has proven wrong every time. The yield on 10-year Treasuries has been lower than that of many shorter-term bonds, a scenario known as an inverted yield curve, which has historically preceded nearly every recession since the 1950s. Traditionally, an inverted yield curve suggests a recession within a year or two. However, not only has a recession not occurred, but U.S. economic growth remains stable. This has led many on Wall Street to wonder why this once-reliable indicator has proven wrong this…
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Top Stock Moves in After-Hours Trading: Cleveland-Cliffs, Nucor, NXP Semiconductors and More

Top Stock Moves in After-Hours Trading: Cleveland-Cliffs, Nucor, NXP Semiconductors and More

Several stocks have seen significant price movements after the market close. Below is a summary of the most significant movers in after-hours trading. Cleveland Cliffs (CLF) Cleveland-Cliffs saw a substantial increase in its stock price after reporting better-than-expected quarterly earnings. The company's strong performance was driven by higher steel prices and increased demand from the auto sector. Investors reacted positively to the news, sending the stock up more than 5%. Nucor (NUE) Nucor shares also rose in extended trading, buoyed by a solid earnings report that highlighted strong demand in its core markets. The steelmaker’s results beat Wall Street estimates,…
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Tune In: Fed Chair Jerome Powell Discusses Interest Rate Policy and Economic Outlook

Tune In: Fed Chair Jerome Powell Discusses Interest Rate Policy and Economic Outlook

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell will speak at the Economic Club of Washington, D.C., on Monday, providing insights into the central bank's interest rate policy and the broader economic landscape. Powell will engage in a discussion with David Rubenstein, president of the Economic Club and co-founder of The Carlyle Group. The move marks Powell’s first public comments since Thursday’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, which showed monthly prices for June falling. During his two-day testimony on Capitol Hill last week, Powell said the Federal Reserve now sees the risks of rising inflation and a slowing economy as more balanced. He…
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Boeing in hot water again for sharing details of plane crash investigation

Boeing in hot water again for sharing details of plane crash investigation

Boeing is facing renewed criticism after the revelation of a January crash involving a 737 Max plane. During a factory tour, a Boeing executive revealed details about the missing bolts that led to a panel coming loose in mid-flight. The information sharing has angered the National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB), which called it a “blatant violation” of its own investigation rules. The NTSB is investigating the crash and says Boeing is not allowed to discuss details or speculate about the cause. As punishment, they will limit Boeing’s access to investigation information and prevent them from questioning others at an upcoming…
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The Fed's preferred measure of inflation shows signs of cooling

The Fed's preferred measure of inflation shows signs of cooling

The Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge continues to show signs of cooling, accompanied by moderate growth in consumer spending - good news for central banks aiming to control rising prices and curb demand. The personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index rose 2.6% year-over-year in May, in line with economists’ expectations and down slightly from a 2.7% gain in April. Excluding the more volatile food and fuel prices, the “core” inflation measure also rose 2.6% year-over-year, down from 2.8% in April. On a monthly basis, inflation remained remarkably subdued, with overall prices not showing any significant increase. The Federal Reserve is likely…
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Otto Lucas, a “God in the hat world”, had famous designs that ended up in British Vogue magazine

Otto Lucas, a “God in the hat world”, had famous designs that ended up in British Vogue magazine

This article is part of Neglected, a series of obituaries about extraordinary people whose deaths, beginning in 1851, were not reported by The Times. For many fashionable women of the mid-20th century, a hat wasn't worth wearing unless it was made by Otto Lucas. Lucas was a London milliner famous for his elegant turbans, caps and cloches, often made of fine velvets and silks and decorated with flowers or feathers. Her designs have graced the covers of magazines such as British Vogue and have been worn by illustrious clients, including actresses Greta Garbo and Gene Tierney, as well as the…
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Costner's Expensive 'Horizon' Bites the Dust at the Box Office

Costner's Expensive 'Horizon' Bites the Dust at the Box Office

"Inside Out 2," featuring Anxiety personified, maintained its position as the top film in North America for the third consecutive weekend. Meanwhile, "A Quiet Place: Day One," a suspenseful prequel, exceeded expectations with its strong ticket sales. However, Kevin Costner’s three-hour film “Horizon: An American Saga – Chapter 1” was largely ignored by moviegoers. Originally intended for streaming, this supposed start to an Old West series eventually made it to theaters, but failed to attract significant interest. Pixar’s “Inside Out 2” was projected to gross $57.4 million, reaching a three-week total of about $470 million in the U.S. and Canada,…
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USA Today Editor-in-Chief Terence Samuel Resigns

USA Today Editor-in-Chief Terence Samuel Resigns

USA Today Editor-in-Chief Terence Samuel announced Monday he was stepping down after a year in office. Samuel, a veteran journalist, had joined USA Today in July of the previous year from National Public Radio, where he had been a senior executive overseeing all news programs. Neither Samuel nor USA Today gave a reason for his departure. In an email to the newsroom, Monica Richardson, a senior vice president at USA Today, said Samuel’s resignation was “effective today.” Caren Bohan, the political editor, will temporarily take over as managing editor while the publication conducts a national search for a new chief…
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Chet Hanks and the Rise of a Controversial Meme

Chet Hanks and the Rise of a Controversial Meme

In the spring of 2021, Chet Hanks, son of Tom Hanks, sparked controversy by declaring that it would be a “white boy summer.” Initially ambiguous, the phrase has since been co-opted by white supremacist groups, according to a report by the Global Project Against Hate and Extremism. This year, the slogan has appeared in thousands of Telegram posts, used by far-right groups to recruit, organize protests, and incite violence, particularly against immigrants and LGBTQ individuals. The phrase now symbolizes an unabashed celebration of white heterosexual masculinity, often at the expense of women and people of color. Wendy Via, co-founder of…
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Ray Kurzweil's Take on AI Fusion

Ray Kurzweil's Take on AI Fusion

Ray Kurzweil, a renowned inventor and futurist, continues to claim that humans will soon merge with artificial intelligence. During an interview at the Four Seasons Hotel in Boston, Kurzweil showed a graph illustrating the exponential growth of computing power over the past 85 years. This steady increase, according to him, indicates that the so-called Singularity, when humans and AI become one, will occur within the next two decades. Kurzweil, who has made a career out of making bold predictions, reiterated claims in his 2005 book, The Singularity is NearWith the advent of AI technologies like ChatGPT and efforts to implant…
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